Main Trajectory
30-Day Silver+Presidential Contenders
Bola Tinubu
Sentiment Score
100
%
Peter Obi
Sentiment Score
94
%
Atiku Abubakar
Sentiment Score
45
%
Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso
Sentiment Score
100
%
Rotimi Amaechi
Sentiment Score
100
%
Goodluck Jonathan
Sentiment Score
51
%
Seyi Makinde
Sentiment Score
100
%
Declared Aspirants
Hamza Al-Mustapha
Sentiment Score
95
%
Gbenga Olawepo-Hashim
Sentiment Score
100
%
Omoyele Sowore
Sentiment Score
0
%
Seyi Makinde
Sentiment Score
100
%
Key Figures to Watch
Kashim Shettima
Watching
Sentiment Score
100
%
Nyesom Wike
Watching
Sentiment Score
100
%
Nuhu Ribadu
Watching
Sentiment Score
100
%
Seyi Makinde
Watching
Sentiment Score
100
%
Issue Momentum Index
Issues
Economy & Inflation
69% —
1,308 events tracked
Security & Defence
55% —
2,475 events tracked
Anti-Corruption
43% —
733 events tracked
Infrastructure
71% —
2,433 events tracked
Education Reform
67% —
510 events tracked
Health & Welfare
75% —
381 events tracked
Foreign Policy
66% —
562 events tracked
Electoral Reform
67% —
1,304 events tracked
Sentiment Timeline
Events
Bola Tinubu
Presidential Contenders
JUN 2026
Nigerian government asserts the country is progressing positively
Cause:
Nigerian Government
Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Nigerian government asserts the country is progressing positively
Cause:
Nigerian Government
Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Senate Aims to Approve State Police Bill Within This Week, Says Opeye…
Cause:
Police Reform
Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Tinubu appoints Tegbe and Enikanolaiye to lead power and foreign affa…
Cause:
Power Supply
Positive Shift
Goodluck Jonathan
Presidential Contenders
JUL 2026
Goodluck Jonathan sentiment falls 3 points to 57/100
Cause:
Goodluck Jonathan
Negative Shift
JUL 2026
Goodluck Jonathan sentiment rises 3 points to 64/100
Cause:
Goodluck Jonathan
Positive Shift
JUL 2026
Goodluck Jonathan sentiment rises 3 points to 61/100
Cause:
Goodluck Jonathan
Positive Shift
JUL 2026
Goodluck Jonathan sentiment rises 3 points to 58/100
Cause:
Goodluck Jonathan
Positive Shift
Seyi Makinde
Presidential Contenders
JUN 2026
Igboho proposes security measures for public schools in Oyo amid risi…
Cause:
Ethnic/Tribal
Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Seyi Makinde sentiment rises 3 points to 96/100
Cause:
Seyi Makinde
Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Seyi Makinde sentiment rises 3 points to 93/100
Cause:
Seyi Makinde
Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Mbaka urges Makinde to ensure safe return of kidnapped schoolchildren
Cause:
Insecurity
Positive Shift
Hamza Al-Mustapha
Declared Aspirants
JUN 2026
Boss Mustapha affirms traditional rulers are vital for Nigeria's peac…
Cause:
Boss Mustapha
Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Boss Mustapha affirms traditional rulers are vital for Nigeria's peac…
Cause:
Boss Mustapha
Positive Shift
Gbenga Olawepo-Hashim
Declared Aspirants
JUN 2026
Northern supporters who backed Tinubu now endorse Olawepo-Hashim for …
Cause:
Electoral
Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Gbenga Olawepo-Hashim sentiment rises 4 points to 94/100
Cause:
Policy
Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Gbenga Olawepo-Hashim sentiment rises 4 points to 90/100
Cause:
Policy
Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Accord Party pledges continued backing for Gbenga Hashim's presidenti…
Cause:
Electoral
Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Accord Party pledges continued backing for Gbenga Hashim's presidenti…
Cause:
Electoral
Positive Shift
Omoyele Sowore
Declared Aspirants
JUL 2026
Omoyele Sowore sentiment falls 3 points to 2/100
Cause:
Omoyele Sowore
Negative Shift
JUL 2026
Omoyele Sowore sentiment falls 3 points to 5/100
Cause:
Omoyele Sowore
Negative Shift
JUL 2026
Omoyele Sowore sentiment falls 3 points to 8/100
Cause:
Omoyele Sowore
Negative Shift
JUN 2026
Omoyele Sowore sentiment falls 3 points to 11/100
Cause:
Omoyele Sowore
Negative Shift
JUN 2026
Kuje Prison Officials Express Worries About Increased Security Forces…
Cause:
Public Opinion
Negative Shift
Nyesom Wike
Key Figures to Watch
JUL 2026
Tinubu praises Wike for his unwavering commitment to completing tasks
Cause:
Tinubu Praises
Positive Shift
JUL 2026
Tinubu praises Wike for his unwavering commitment to completing tasks
Cause:
Tinubu Praises
Positive Shift
JUL 2026
Nyesom Wike sentiment rises 4 points to 93/100
Cause:
Nyesom Wike
Positive Shift
JUL 2026
Nyesom Wike sentiment rises 5 points to 90/100
Cause:
Nyesom Wike
Positive Shift
JUL 2026
Tinubu Commends Wike for Constructing Roads in Renewed Hope City
Cause:
Infrastructure
Positive Shift
Nuhu Ribadu
Key Figures to Watch
JUN 2026
Mallam Nuhu Ribadu leads Nigeria’s renewed efforts in the fight aga…
Cause:
Insecurity
Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Mallam Nuhu Ribadu leads Nigeria’s renewed efforts in the fight aga…
Cause:
Insecurity
Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Nuhu Ribadu's dedicated efforts towards enhancing national security a…
Cause:
Nuhu Ribadus
Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Nuhu Ribadu sentiment rises 5 points to 78/100
Cause:
Nuhu Ribadu
Positive Shift
JUN 2026
Nuhu Ribadu sentiment rises 5 points to 73/100
Cause:
Nuhu Ribadu
Positive Shift
Regional Sentiment Map
Zones
South-West
MIXED
South-West
Opposition: 49.7%
Incumbent: 53.7%
As of: 2026-05-22
Opposition: 49.7%
Incumbent: 53.7%
As of: 2026-05-22
South-East
STRONG OPPOSITION
South-East
Opposition: 70.7%
Incumbent: 44.9%
As of: 2026-05-22
Opposition: 70.7%
Incumbent: 44.9%
As of: 2026-05-22
South-South
LEANING OPPOSITION
South-South
Opposition: 55.3%
Incumbent: 50.0%
As of: 2026-05-22
Opposition: 55.3%
Incumbent: 50.0%
As of: 2026-05-22
North-West
LEANING INCUMBENT
North-West
Opposition: 47.3%
Incumbent: 62.0%
As of: 2026-05-22
Opposition: 47.3%
Incumbent: 62.0%
As of: 2026-05-22
North-East
LEANING OPPOSITION
North-East
Opposition: 42.5%
Incumbent: 32.0%
As of: 2026-05-22
Opposition: 42.5%
Incumbent: 32.0%
As of: 2026-05-22
North-Central
MIXED
North-Central
Opposition: 54.8%
Incumbent: 59.3%
As of: 2026-05-22
Opposition: 54.8%
Incumbent: 59.3%
As of: 2026-05-22
Opposition
Incumbent
Intelligence Disclaimer
All sentiment data is generated by AI analysis of public discourse, news sources, and social media signals. It does not constitute a poll or prediction. Data is indicative, not predictive.
Updated every 30 minutes from the Intelligence Tracker. | AI-generated analysis — not a political endorsement.